U.S. Treasury Yields Fall in Shortened Trading Session
U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday in a shortened trading session, as the bond market closed early in honor of the late former U.S. President Jimmy Carter. The 10-year Treasury yield was near flat at 4.691%, while the 2-year Treasury yield was about 2.5 basis points lower at 4.268%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman spoke just before the market close, stating that she thinks the December rate cut should be the “final step” in the recent rate-cutting cycle. Bowman noted that she sees upside risks for inflation that should lead the Fed to pause as it evaluates data.
Bond market trading will end early at 2 p.m. ET due to a national day of mourning for Carter, who died in late December at age 100. A state funeral for the country’s 39th president will be taking place.
Investors digested minutes released from the Federal Reserve’s December Meeting, which indicated that the pace of interest rate cuts would slow this year, casting concern over inflation and the impact that President-elect Donald Trump’s policies could have. According to the minutes, “almost all participants judged that upside risks to the inflation outlook had increased,” citing recent stronger-than-expected readings on inflation and the likely effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy.
Investors are now keenly awaiting the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, one of the last key pieces of data to be published ahead of the Fed’s meeting at the end of January. The report is expected to show that the U.S. added 155,000 jobs in December and that the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%, according to estimates from Dow Jones.