Canada’s Conservative movement could gain significant momentum in the upcoming election year as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announces his resignation amid mounting pressure from domestic critics and tariff threats from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. American conservative strategist Matt Shupe is leading efforts in Calgary, training activists, consultants, and volunteers on how to build winning campaigns.
Shupe, who has experience in California, describes Canada’s liberal policies as “California on steroids.” He notes that Trudeau’s resignation is reminiscent of President Biden’s exit from the 2024 presidential race, and that his conversations with Canadians suggest progressive policies have pushed even many liberals toward the center. Shupe believes the conservative movement has primarily attracted young people due to high taxes, a high cost of living, and difficulty owning a home.
Pierre Poilievre, a firebrand conservative candidate, is a contender to become the next leader of Canada. He has been compared to President-elect Trump, vowing to crack down on immigration, inflation, and the budget deficit. Poilievre’s Conservative Party has nearly three times the support of committed voters in this year’s general election.
As the next election approaches, Poilievre has acknowledged Trump’s aggressive negotiation style but emphasizes the importance of seeking a great deal that benefits both countries. The potential for a Poilievre government is possible, as the opposition parties are expected to defeat the minority Liberal government in a vote of no-confidence, triggering a national vote that favors the Conservatives.